DragonForce, a recent but virulent ransomware group formed from ex-members of RansomHub, suggested forming a “Ransomware Cartel” with LockBit and Qilin on the dark web. Shortly after, LockBit seemed to accept the offer, which allowed the groups to coordinate and share resources.
During 2025, ransomware-as-a-service (RaaS) competition has been extremely volatile. The rise and fall of groups has been dramatic. Groups’ payouts have gone up even higher to reflect this, with LockBit offering the highest at 90%, their top tier.
With the recent unification of DragonForce, LockBit, and Qilin, we believe this could lead to more coordinated efforts and unified attack strategies. For instance, LockBit, which is believed to have a very reliable pipeline of Initial Access Brokers, could share that privileged access to help Qilin and DragonForce gain access to a broader set of targets. More importantly, LockBit has proven that its infrastructure is extremely robust and operates even after takedowns. With the latest release, this will be LockBit’s fifth major restructure. By offering the other groups access to their infrastructure, money laundering, and financial systems, it could help make them more resistant to takedowns from law enforcement.
Similar to illicit cartels in Mexico, the current ransomware landscape has been fighting with each other at an escalating pace this year. Groups like BlackLock have been targeted by other groups, including DragonForce. Chatter amongst the dark web has indicated smaller groups might be looking to join forces as well, making the landscape extremely dynamic and unpredictable.